Championship Relegation Odds: Who will drop down to League One this season?

We take a look at the most likely contenders for relegation from the Championship at the end of the season

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Championship Relegation Odds: Who will drop down to League One this season?

 

Update: 09.11.23

After fifteen rounds of Championship fixtures, Sheffield Wednesday sit firmly at the foot of division after collecting a measly six points and scoring just seven goals along the way. The Owls have managed just a solitary win whilst on Championship duty this term but at best odds of 4/7 for the drop they aren’t favourites for relegation back to League One. This particular accolade belongs to near-neighbours Rotherham United who are priced as low as 1/6 (best odds of 1/3) to drop into the third tier at the close of the 2023/24 campaign.

In fairness, the Millers have suffered just a single defeat in their last five games (this being a 2-0 defeat away to bottom side Sheffield Wednesday) and they held high-flying promotion contenders Ipswich Town to a 2-2 draw at the New York Stadium last time out. Nevertheless the South Yorkshire outfit have won just twice whilst on league duty this season and the general consensus is that this yo-yo club will once again find themselves plying their trade in League One in 2024/25.

Another leading contender for the drop are Queens Park Rangers who, after fifteen rounds of Championship games, find themselves second from bottom of the division. The West London outfit have also managed just two wins this term but during this time they have lost ten times, more than any other side except bottom team Sheffield Wednesday, and they are a best price of just 2/3 to drop into the third tier.

 

Championship Relegation Best Odds

 

1/3  –  Rotherham United

4/7  –  Sheffield Wednesday

2/3  –  Queens Park Rangers

11/4 –  Huddersfield Town

3/1  –  Plymouth Argyle

 


 

Update: 06.01.21

Wycombe Wanderers’ dismal season continued on Saturday afternoon when they lost 3-1 at home to Middlesbrough, this a poor return given that they had previously impressed when winning 2-1 against Cardiff City in their final outing of 2020. The Chairboys remain firmly rooted to the foot of the Championship table with four points separating them from safety and a mere three points from their opening 23 matches.

Few believed that their win over the Bluebirds was anything more than a temporary blip and their most recent result has nothing to dispel that belief. With that in mind, all bookmakers have further shortened the odds on Gareth Ainsworth’s men making a return back to League One at the end of the season, BetVictor going just 1/16 that this proves to be the case.

Wycombe are joined in the Championship bottom-three by Rotherham United and Derby County, the Millers 8/15 for the drop and Derby County odds-against at 5/2. The Rams are under the guidance of caretaker boss Wayne Rooney who is expected to be appointed as permanent boss following the upcoming takeover of the club, however the side suffered their second defeat under Rooney when they lost 1-0 away to fellow relegation strugglers Sheffield Wednesday last time out, the latter third favourites for the drop at odds of 8/11.

 

Championship Relegation Odds

 

1/16 –  Wycombe Wanderers

8/15 –  Rotherham United

8/11 –  Sheffield Wednesday

5/2  –  Derby County

3/1  –  Birmingham City

7/2  –  Queens Park Rangers

8/1  –  Coventry City

8/1  –  Nottingham Forest

 

Update: 31.12.20

Wycombe Wanderers have been sitting at the foot of the Championship table for most of the season, however their boosted their survival chances on Tuesday evening thanks to a somewhat unexpected 2-1 win over Cardiff City. The Chairboys remain rooted to the foot of the division as things stand with just 3 wins from their 22 league games, however they are now just four points away from safety.

The bookmakers are far from convinced that this recent win is anything more than a temporary blip and while it will doubtless have been a boost to Wycombe’s confidence following their dismal start to the campaign, most firms still go huge odds-on at 1/12 that Gareth Ainsworth’s men find themselves in League One next season.

Rotherham United’s disappojnting season continued on Tuesday evening when they lost 2-1 at home to local rivals Barnsley and the Millers now sit just a single point above the foot of the table, albeit with two games in hand over the sides around them in the division. The South Yorkshire outfit are 8/11 to suffer relegation back to the third tier at the end of the campaign, leaving them ahead of Sheffield Wednesday in the Relegation Betting Market, the latter now odds-against at 11/10 for the drop.

 

Championship Relegation Odds

 

1/12 –  Wycombe Wanderers

8/11 –  Rotherham United

11/10 – Sheffield Wednesday

11/4 –  Coventry City

11/4 –  Derby County

9/2  –  Queens Park Rangers

9/2  –  Nottingham Forest

4/1  –  Birmingham City

 

Update: 29.12.20

Wycombe Wanderers have thus far looked very much out of their depth in the Championship, the Chairboys immediately sinking to the foot of the league table and staying there ever since. Wanderers have won just two of their twenty-one league outings and their woes continued on Boxing Day when they lost 2-1 away to Bristol City.

Gareth Ainsworth’s men have now collected just a single point from their last five games and most pundits agree that they are near-certainties for relegation at the end of the season, the bookies continuing to slash the odds on them dropping down to League One with some going as low as 1/20. As things stand, Wycombe sit four points adrift of safety at the foot of the division and it’s hard to envisage any sort of dramatic turnaround any time soon.

Sheffield Wednesday have lifted themselves off the foot of the Championship table where they previously resided with goal-difference alone separating them from Wanderers. The Owls managed to secure a point in their 1-1 draw at Blackburn Rovers on Boxing Day, this stalemate coming hot on the heels of their much-needed win over Coventry City. The South Yorkshire outfit are odds-on at 8/11 to drop into League One at the end of the campaign, just ahead of near-neighbours Rotherham United who are an 11/10 shot for relegation.

Derby County have had their relegation odds slashed after they suffered their first defeat under interim boss Wayne Rooney on Boxing Day, the Rams now a 2/1 shot for the drop having been 11/4 before the festive period.

 

Update: 22.12.20

Wycombe Wanderers could only manage a single point in their home meeting with Queens Park Rangers at the weekend and that result sent them crashing to the foot of the Championship table where they sit level on points with second-bottom side Sheffield Wednesday. Wanderers have collected just two points from their last six Championship outings and Gareth Ainsworth’s side are huge odds-on favourites to drop back down to League One at the end of the season, some bookies now going as low as 1/16 that this proves to be the case.

Wycombe can consider themselves unlucky not to have picked up a few more points in their recent outings and it’s fair to say that they have been pretty competitive along the way, their last nine outings returning five draws and four defeats by single-goal margins.

Sheffield Wednesday are joint-bottom of the Championship table with goal-difference alone separating them from Wycombe Wanderers as things stand. The Owls have thus far had a disastrous campaign and having collected just twelve points from their opening twenty league games, the South Yorkshire outfit are an 8/11 shot for relegation to League One at the end of the campaign.

Near-neighbours Rotherham United make up the top three in the Championship Relegation betting market, the Millers a perennial mover between the second and third tiers with most firms going 11/10 that they once again find themselves making a drop down to League One.

 

Championship Relegation Odds

 

1/12 –  Wycombe Wanderers

8/11 –  Sheffield Wednesday

11/10 – Rotherham United

11/4 –  Derby County

 

Update: 18.12.20

Although they sit two points above the foot of the Championship table, Wycombe Wanderers are massive odds-on favourites at 1/10 to drop down to League One at the end of the 2020/21 campaign. Gareth Ainsworth’s men have collected just eleven points from their opening nineteen league games and they have earned just a single point from their last five Championship outings, their most recent result being a 1-0 defeat at promotion-hopefuls AFC Bournemouth.

In fairness, the Chairboys haven’t exactly been getting thumped every week, five of their last six defeats being by single-goal margins. Also with much of the season left to play, the five-point gap between themselves and third-bottom side Derby County is far from insurmountable. Nevertheless the bookmakers are far from confident of their chances of escaping the drop and punters have been backing them in their droves since the start of the season.

Sheffield Wednesday are the side currently at the foot of the Championship table, the Owls collecting just nine points from their nineteen league outings thus far. The South Yorkshire outfit have been utterly abysmal since the start of the campaign although they are second behind Wycombe on the relegation betting market at 8/11. Rotherham are next at odds of 11/10 while Derby County’s recent resurgence under Wayne Rooney has resulted in their odds drifting to 5/2. Nottingham Forest have also drifted in the market with the Tricky Trees a 4/1 punt to drop down to League One at the end of the campaign.

 

Championship Relegation Odds

 

1/10 –  Wycombe Wanderers

8/11 –  Sheffield Wednesday

11/10 – Rotherham United

5/2  –  Derby County

4/1  –  Nottingham Forest

9/2  –  Coventry City

7/1  –  Birmingham City

 

10.12.20

  • Bookies have slashed the odds on Forest being relegated from 10/1 to just 3/1
  • The Tricky Trees have been the most heavily backed side for relegation this week
  • Chris Hughton’s men sit just a single point above the bottom three in the table

 

Following their defeat to Norwich City last night, Nottingham Forest are now as low as 3/1 for relegation to League One at the end of the season, this price being slashed from a general 10/1 over the past seven days. The 2-1 defeat was the sixth match without a win for the Tricky Trees and it sees the side hovering above the relegation zone with just a single point separating them from the bottom three in the Championship table. Indeed since Chris Hughton took the reins in October, Forest have only managed three wins and the pressure is mounting as we fast approach the festive period. Forest face a very quick turnaround before their next outing, the side up against promotion-hopefuls Brentford on Saturday afternoon.

Favourites for relegation this season are Wycombe Wanderers at a general 1/7 while Rotherham United – who sit level on points with Nottingham Forest – are odds-on to return to League One at 8/11. Derby County have shown signs of improvement in recent outings and they have nearly hauled themselves out of the immediate danger zone, however they are still short on the betting market at odds of 6/4. The only other side at shorter odds than Nottingham Forest are Sheffield Wednesday who are a 7/4 punt for the drop.

 

Championship Relegation Odds 

 

1/8  –  Wycombe Wanderers

8/11 –  Rotherham United

6/4  –  Derby County

7/4  –  Sheffield Wednesday

4/1  –  Nottingham Forest

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